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La Liga · Matchday 8Monday 12 October · 20:00 · Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
Levante18th place
Full time3-3Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✕ Missed
Sevilla6th place
LEV 42%X 28%SEV 30%

What does the market say?

LevanteDrawSevillaRinvalo42%28%30%
Market35%29%37%

⚠ Split · Rinvalo Levante 42%, market Sevilla 37%

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
Key factors
  • Levante take 2.4 points per game at home.
  • If Levante score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Sevilla score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.2
Over 2.551%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Levante win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
142%2.38X28%3.53230%3.38
Double chance
1X70%1.42X258%1.731272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.551%1.97Under 2.549%2.03BTTS yes55%1.81BTTS no45%2.24

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Levante · Columns: Sevilla3-3 probability 1.1% · final score

Form

Compare →
LevanteDDWLL
SevillaLDLWL

Head to head

Levante – Sevilla12 October 20263-3
Levante – Sevilla23 April 20262-0
Sevilla – Levante4 January 20260-3
Levante – Sevilla21 April 20222-3
Sevilla – Levante24 October 20215-3