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La Liga · Matchday 8Sunday 11 October · 20:00 · Campos de Sport de El Sardinero
Racing Santander16th place
Full time2-2Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✕ Missed
Valencia19th place
RAC 40%X 27%VAL 33%

What does the market say?

Racing SantanderDrawValenciaRinvalo40%27%33%
Market41%27%32%

✓ Agree · both back Racing Santander

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
Key factors
  • Racing Santander take 2.3 points per game at home.
  • If Racing Santander score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Valencia score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.5
Over 2.564%
Both teams score65%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Racing Santander win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.48X27%3.70233%3.07
Double chance
1X67%1.48X260%1.681273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.564%1.57Under 2.536%2.75BTTS yes65%1.53BTTS no35%2.90

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Racing Santander · Columns: Valencia2-2 probability 6.8% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Racing Santander – Valencia11 October 20262-2