TR
Picks
La Liga · Matchday 8Sunday 11 October · 17:30 · Estadio de La Cartuja
Real Betis4th place
Full time5-2Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✓ Result correct
Osasuna15th place
BET 58%X 24%OSA 18%

What does the market say?

Real BetisDrawOsasunaRinvalo58%24%18%
Market61%22%17%

✓ Agree · both back Real Betis

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
Key factors
  • Real Betis lead by 139 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Real Betis 2.0 points per game, Osasuna 0.8.
  • Real Betis take 2.2 points per game at home.
  • If Real Betis score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Osasuna score first, they win 47% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.8 – 0.9
Over 2.551%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Real Betis win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
158%1.72X24%4.11218%5.68
Double chance
1X82%1.21X242%2.381276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.551%1.96Under 2.549%2.04BTTS yes50%1.98BTTS no50%2.02

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Real Betis · Columns: Osasuna5-2 probability 0.4% · final score

Head to head

Real Betis – Osasuna11 October 20265-2
Osasuna – Real Betis12 April 20261-1
Real Betis – Osasuna28 September 20252-0
Real Betis – Osasuna11 May 20251-1
Osasuna – Real Betis19 October 20241-2
Osasuna – Real Betis5 May 20240-2