TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
La Liga · Matchday 34Sunday 2 May · 16:00 · Spotify Camp Nou
Barcelona1st place
Rinvalo prediction3-0High confidence
Osasuna15th place
BAR 84%X 12%OSA 5%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Barcelona lead by 350 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Barcelona 2.2, Osasuna 0.1.
  • Last 5 games: Barcelona 2.4 points per game, Osasuna 0.8.
  • If Barcelona score first, they win 93% of the time
  • If Osasuna score first, they win 19% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 2%
Expected goals3.4 – 0.9
Over 2.579%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score3-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
184%1.20X12%8.5325%21.10
Double chance
1X95%1.05X216%6.081288%1.13
Goals
Over 2.579%1.26Under 2.521%4.84BTTS yes56%1.79BTTS no44%2.27

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Barcelona · Columns: Osasuna3-0 probability 9.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Osasuna – Barcelona2 May 20261-2
Barcelona – Osasuna13 December 20252-0
Barcelona – Osasuna27 March 20253-0
Osasuna – Barcelona28 September 20244-2
Barcelona – Osasuna31 January 20241-0
Osasuna – Barcelona3 September 20231-2