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La Liga · Matchday 34Sunday 2 May · 16:00 · Estadio La Rosaleda
Málaga20th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Getafe12th place
MAL 32%X 31%GET 37%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Getafe lead by 84 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Getafe 1.4 points per game, Málaga 0.4.
  • If Málaga score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Getafe score first, they win 72% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 14%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.1
Over 2.534%
Both teams score42%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Getafe win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
132%3.17X31%3.22237%2.67
Double chance
1X63%1.60X268%1.461269%1.45
Goals
Over 2.534%2.95Under 2.566%1.51BTTS yes42%2.37BTTS no58%1.73

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Málaga · Columns: Getafe1-1 probability 14.4%

Form

Compare →
MálagaLDLDL
GetafeWLDLW

Head to head

Getafe – Málaga20 September 20261-0