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La Liga · Matchday 34Sunday 2 May · 16:00 · Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
Levante18th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Real Madrid3rd place
LEV 14%X 20%RMA 66%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Real Madrid lead by 253 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Real Madrid 1.4, Levante -0.5.
  • Last 5 games: Real Madrid 2.4 points per game, Levante 1.0.
  • If Levante score first, they win 38% of the time
  • If Real Madrid score first, they win 85% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals0.9 – 2.2
Over 2.561%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
114%7.22X20%5.05266%1.51
Double chance
1X34%2.97X286%1.161280%1.25
Goals
Over 2.561%1.63Under 2.539%2.58BTTS yes55%1.83BTTS no45%2.20

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Levante · Columns: Real Madrid0-2 probability 10.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Real Madrid – Levante17 January 20262-0
Levante – Real Madrid23 September 20251-4
Real Madrid – Levante12 May 20226-0
Levante – Real Madrid22 August 20213-3