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La Liga · Matchday 34Sunday 2 May · 16:00 · Estadio Martínez Valero
Elche17th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Espanyol14th place
ELC 47%X 28%ESP 25%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Elche 1.6 points per game, Espanyol 0.8.
  • If Elche score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If Espanyol score first, they win 57% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.0
Over 2.546%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Elche win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
147%2.13X28%3.61225%3.94
Double chance
1X75%1.34X253%1.881272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.546%2.16Under 2.554%1.86BTTS yes51%1.97BTTS no49%2.03

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Elche · Columns: Espanyol1-1 probability 13.2%

Form

Compare →
ElcheWDDWL

Head to head

Espanyol – Elche18 September 20261-3
Elche – Espanyol1 March 20262-2
Espanyol – Elche25 October 20251-0
Elche – Espanyol19 February 20230-1
Espanyol – Elche23 October 20222-2
Espanyol – Elche10 January 20221-2