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La Liga · Matchday 34Sunday 2 May · 16:00 · Estadio de Vallecas
Rayo Vallecano11th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Villarreal8th place
RAY 36%X 28%VIL 37%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Villarreal 1.1, Rayo Vallecano -0.3.
  • If Rayo Vallecano score first, they win 65% of the time
  • If Villarreal score first, they win 66% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.4
Over 2.551%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Villarreal win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
136%2.80X28%3.61237%2.73
Double chance
1X63%1.58X264%1.551272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.551%1.97Under 2.549%2.03BTTS yes56%1.79BTTS no44%2.27

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Rayo Vallecano · Columns: Villarreal1-1 probability 13.1%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Rayo Vallecano – Villarreal17 May 20262-0
Villarreal – Rayo Vallecano1 November 20254-0
Rayo Vallecano – Villarreal22 February 20250-1
Villarreal – Rayo Vallecano18 December 20241-1
Villarreal – Rayo Vallecano28 April 20243-0
Rayo Vallecano – Villarreal24 September 20231-1