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La Liga · Matchday 34Sunday 2 May · 16:00 · Estadio Abanca-Balaídos
Celta Vigo9th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Sevilla6th place
CEL 45%X 29%SEV 26%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Celta Vigo 1.6 points per game, Sevilla 0.8.
  • If Celta Vigo score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If Sevilla score first, they win 58% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.1
Over 2.547%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Celta Vigo win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
145%2.20X29%3.49226%3.85
Double chance
1X74%1.35X255%1.831271%1.40
Goals
Over 2.547%2.14Under 2.553%1.88BTTS yes51%1.94BTTS no49%2.06

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Celta Vigo · Columns: Sevilla1-1 probability 13.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Celta Vigo – Sevilla23 May 20261-0
Sevilla – Celta Vigo12 January 20260-1
Celta Vigo – Sevilla10 May 20253-2
Sevilla – Celta Vigo14 December 20241-0
Sevilla – Celta Vigo17 March 20241-2
Celta Vigo – Sevilla4 November 20231-1