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La Liga · Matchday 34Sunday 2 May · 16:00 · Estadio de La Cartuja
Real Betis4th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Valencia19th place
BET 57%X 25%VAL 18%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Real Betis lead by 110 rating points.
  • Real Betis take 2.5 points per game at home.
  • If Real Betis score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Valencia score first, they win 48% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.8 – 0.9
Over 2.550%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Real Betis win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
157%1.75X25%4.02218%5.54
Double chance
1X82%1.22X243%2.331275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.550%2.00Under 2.550%2.00BTTS yes50%1.99BTTS no50%2.01

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Real Betis · Columns: Valencia1-1 probability 11.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Valencia – Real Betis25 August 20260-1
Real Betis – Valencia1 February 20262-1
Valencia – Real Betis9 November 20251-1
Real Betis – Valencia23 May 20251-1
Valencia – Real Betis23 November 20244-2
Valencia – Real Betis20 April 20241-2