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La Liga · Matchday 34Sunday 2 May · 16:00 · Estadio Abanca-Riazor
Deportivo8th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Racing Santander16th place
DEP 59%X 23%RAC 18%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Deportivo 0.2, Racing Santander -1.1.
  • If Deportivo score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Racing Santander score first, they win 44% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.2 – 1.2
Over 2.564%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
159%1.69X23%4.33218%5.59
Double chance
1X82%1.22X241%2.441277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.564%1.55Under 2.536%2.81BTTS yes61%1.63BTTS no39%2.58

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
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3
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5
Rows: Deportivo · Columns: Racing Santander2-1 probability 9.8%

Form

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