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La Liga · Matchday 18Sunday 3 January · 16:00 · Estadio de La Cartuja
Real Betis4th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Alavés11th place
BET 54%X 26%ALA 21%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Real Betis lead by 113 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Real Betis 1.6 points per game, Alavés 0.4.
  • Real Betis take 2.5 points per game at home.
  • If Real Betis score first, they win 78% of the time
  • If Alavés score first, they win 50% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.0
Over 2.553%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Real Betis win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
154%1.85X26%3.92221%4.86
Double chance
1X79%1.26X246%2.171275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.553%1.90Under 2.547%2.12BTTS yes54%1.86BTTS no46%2.16

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Real Betis · Columns: Alavés1-1 probability 11.9%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Alavés – Real Betis25 January 20262-1
Real Betis – Alavés22 August 20251-0
Real Betis – Alavés18 January 20251-3
Alavés – Real Betis25 August 20240-0
Real Betis – Alavés18 February 20240-0
Alavés – Real Betis8 October 20231-1