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La Liga · Matchday 18Sunday 3 January · 16:00 · Estadio Abanca-Balaídos
Celta Vigo10th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Deportivo8th place
CEL 47%X 29%DEP 25%

Prediction

  • If Celta Vigo score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Deportivo score first, they win 58% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.0
Over 2.543%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Celta Vigo win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
147%2.14X29%3.50225%4.06
Double chance
1X75%1.33X253%1.881271%1.40
Goals
Over 2.543%2.30Under 2.557%1.77BTTS yes48%2.07BTTS no52%1.94

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Celta Vigo · Columns: Deportivo1-1 probability 13.4%

Form

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