TR
Picks
La Liga · Matchday 18Sunday 3 January · 16:00 · Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
Levante18th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Valencia19th place
LEV 44%X 28%VAL 28%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Levante take 2.1 points per game at home.
  • If Levante score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Valencia score first, they win 59% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.1
Over 2.549%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Levante win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
144%2.25X28%3.57228%3.62
Double chance
1X72%1.38X256%1.801272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.549%2.05Under 2.551%1.95BTTS yes53%1.87BTTS no47%2.15

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Levante · Columns: Valencia1-1 probability 13.1%
LevanteDDWLL

Head to head

Levante – Valencia15 February 20260-2
Valencia – Levante21 November 20251-0
Valencia – Levante30 April 20221-1
Levante – Valencia20 December 20213-4