TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
La Liga · Matchday 18Sunday 3 January · 16:00 · Reale Arena
Real Sociedad5th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Osasuna15th place
RSO 51%X 26%OSA 23%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Real Sociedad 2.4 points per game, Osasuna 0.8.
  • Real Sociedad lead by 84 rating points.
  • If Real Sociedad score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Osasuna score first, they win 52% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.2
Over 2.557%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Real Sociedad win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
151%1.97X26%3.85223%4.31
Double chance
1X77%1.30X249%2.031274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.557%1.75Under 2.543%2.33BTTS yes58%1.71BTTS no42%2.40

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Real Sociedad · Columns: Osasuna1-1 probability 11.6%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Real Sociedad – Osasuna15 March 20263-1
Osasuna – Real Sociedad22 November 20251-3
Osasuna – Real Sociedad2 February 20252-1
Real Sociedad – Osasuna27 October 20240-2
Real Sociedad – Osasuna10 February 20240-1
Osasuna – Real Sociedad2 December 20231-1