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La Liga · Matchday 38Sunday 30 May · 16:00 · Estadio de La Cartuja
Real Betis4th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Atlético Madrid2nd place
BET 35%X 28%ATM 38%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Atlético Madrid 3.0 points per game, Real Betis 1.6.
  • Atlético Madrid lead by 72 rating points.
  • Atlético Madrid take 2.1 points per game away.
  • If Real Betis score first, they win 64% of the time
  • If Atlético Madrid score first, they win 67% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.4
Over 2.551%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Atlético Madrid win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
135%2.88X28%3.63238%2.65
Double chance
1X62%1.61X265%1.531272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.551%1.95Under 2.549%2.06BTTS yes56%1.78BTTS no44%2.29

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Real Betis · Columns: Atlético Madrid1-1 probability 13.0%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Atlético Madrid – Real Betis8 February 20260-1
Real Betis – Atlético Madrid27 October 20250-2
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Atlético Madrid – Real Betis3 March 20242-1
Real Betis – Atlético Madrid20 August 20230-0