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La Liga · Matchday 38Sunday 30 May · 16:00 · Estadio Martínez Valero
Elche17th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Racing Santander16th place
ELC 61%X 22%RAC 17%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Elche lead by 64 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Elche 1.6 points per game, Racing Santander 0.8.
  • If Elche score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Racing Santander score first, they win 42% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.3 – 1.2
Over 2.569%
Both teams score64%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
161%1.64X22%4.52217%5.90
Double chance
1X83%1.20X239%2.561278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.569%1.46Under 2.531%3.17BTTS yes64%1.57BTTS no36%2.76

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Elche · Columns: Racing Santander2-1 probability 9.5%

Form

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Head to head

Racing Santander – Elche28 August 20263-2