TR
Picks
La Liga · Matchday 38Sunday 30 May · 16:00 · Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
Levante18th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Celta Vigo9th place
LEV 40%X 28%CEL 32%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Levante take 2.1 points per game at home.
  • If Levante score first, they win 69% of the time
  • If Celta Vigo score first, they win 62% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.2
Over 2.549%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Levante win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.50X28%3.53232%3.15
Double chance
1X68%1.46X260%1.671272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.549%2.04Under 2.551%1.96BTTS yes54%1.84BTTS no46%2.19

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Levante · Columns: Celta Vigo1-1 probability 13.3%

Head to head

Celta Vigo – Levante12 May 20262-3
Levante – Celta Vigo2 November 20251-2
Celta Vigo – Levante21 February 20221-1
Levante – Celta Vigo21 September 20210-2