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La Liga · Matchday 38Sunday 30 May · 16:00 · Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Real Madrid3rd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Deportivo8th place
RMA 78%X 15%DEP 7%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Real Madrid lead by 257 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Real Madrid 2.4 points per game, Deportivo 1.0.
  • Real Madrid take 2.8 points per game at home.
  • If Real Madrid score first, they win 92% of the time
  • If Deportivo score first, they win 27% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.6 – 0.6
Over 2.562%
Both teams score44%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
178%1.27X15%6.7227%14.99
Double chance
1X93%1.07X222%4.641285%1.17
Goals
Over 2.562%1.62Under 2.538%2.61BTTS yes44%2.29BTTS no56%1.78

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Real Madrid · Columns: Deportivo2-0 probability 13.5%

Form

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