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La Liga · Matchday 38Sunday 30 May · 16:00 · Estadio La Rosaleda
Málaga20th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Sevilla6th place
MAL 28%X 28%SEV 43%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Sevilla lead by 92 rating points.
  • If Málaga score first, they win 60% of the time
  • If Sevilla score first, they win 72% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.5
Over 2.548%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Sevilla win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
128%3.51X28%3.56243%2.30
Double chance
1X57%1.77X272%1.401272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.548%2.09Under 2.552%1.91BTTS yes53%1.89BTTS no47%2.12

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Málaga · Columns: Sevilla1-1 probability 13.3%

Form

Compare →
MálagaLDLDL
SevillaLDLWL