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La Liga · Matchday 38Sunday 30 May · 16:00 · RCDE Stadium
Espanyol14th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Alavés11th place
ESP 38%X 29%ALA 32%

Prediction

  • If Espanyol score first, they win 69% of the time
  • If Alavés score first, they win 65% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.1
Over 2.543%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Espanyol win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
138%2.62X29%3.41232%3.08
Double chance
1X68%1.48X262%1.621271%1.42
Goals
Over 2.543%2.31Under 2.557%1.76BTTS yes50%2.01BTTS no50%1.99

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Espanyol · Columns: Alavés1-1 probability 13.9%

Form

Compare →
AlavésDLLDL

Head to head

Espanyol – Alavés30 January 20261-2
Alavés – Espanyol2 November 20252-1
Alavés – Espanyol22 February 20250-1
Espanyol – Alavés14 September 20243-2
Alavés – Espanyol11 May 20222-1
Espanyol – Alavés22 September 20211-0