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La Liga · Matchday 38Sunday 30 May · 16:00 · Reale Arena
Real Sociedad5th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Villarreal9th place
RSO 35%X 27%VIL 38%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Villarreal 1.1, Real Sociedad -0.3.
  • If Real Sociedad score first, they win 63% of the time
  • If Villarreal score first, they win 65% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.6
Over 2.561%
Both teams score63%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Villarreal win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
135%2.83X27%3.68238%2.66
Double chance
1X62%1.60X265%1.551273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.561%1.65Under 2.539%2.55BTTS yes63%1.58BTTS no37%2.74

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Real Sociedad · Columns: Villarreal1-1 probability 11.4%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Villarreal – Real Sociedad20 March 20263-1
Real Sociedad – Villarreal30 November 20252-3
Villarreal – Real Sociedad20 April 20252-2
Real Sociedad – Villarreal13 January 20251-0
Real Sociedad – Villarreal23 February 20241-3
Villarreal – Real Sociedad9 December 20230-3