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La Liga · Matchday 38Sunday 30 May · 16:00 · Estadio Coliseum
Getafe12th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Barcelona1st place
GET 11%X 18%BAR 71%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Barcelona lead by 316 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Barcelona 2.2, Getafe -0.5.
  • Barcelona take 2.4 points per game away.
  • If Getafe score first, they win 35% of the time
  • If Barcelona score first, they win 89% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals0.7 – 2.2
Over 2.555%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
111%9.45X18%5.52271%1.40
Double chance
1X29%3.49X289%1.121282%1.22
Goals
Over 2.555%1.81Under 2.545%2.23BTTS yes45%2.20BTTS no55%1.83

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Getafe · Columns: Barcelona0-2 probability 13.3%

Form

Compare →
GetafeWLDLW

Head to head

Barcelona – Getafe10 October 20263-0
Getafe – Barcelona25 April 20260-2
Barcelona – Getafe21 September 20253-0
Getafe – Barcelona18 January 20251-1
Barcelona – Getafe25 September 20241-0
Barcelona – Getafe24 February 20244-0