TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
La Liga · Matchday 38Sunday 30 May · 16:00 · Estadio El Sadar
Osasuna15th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Valencia19th place
OSA 44%X 28%VAL 28%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Osasuna 0.1, Valencia -0.5.
  • If Osasuna score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Valencia score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.1
Over 2.544%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Osasuna win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
144%2.28X28%3.52228%3.60
Double chance
1X72%1.38X256%1.781272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.544%2.26Under 2.556%1.79BTTS yes50%2.00BTTS no50%2.00

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Osasuna · Columns: Valencia1-1 probability 13.6%

Form

Compare →
OsasunaDLWLL

Head to head

Valencia – Osasuna1 March 20261-0
Osasuna – Valencia24 August 20251-0
Osasuna – Valencia2 March 20253-3
Valencia – Osasuna24 September 20240-0
Osasuna – Valencia15 April 20240-1
Valencia – Osasuna27 August 20231-2