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La Liga · Matchday 20Sunday 17 January · 16:00 · Estadio de La Cartuja
Real Betis4th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Deportivo8th place
BET 57%X 25%DEP 18%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Real Betis lead by 121 rating points.
  • Real Betis take 2.5 points per game at home.
  • If Real Betis score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Deportivo score first, they win 47% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.8 – 0.9
Over 2.552%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Real Betis win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
157%1.74X25%4.08218%5.53
Double chance
1X82%1.22X243%2.351275%1.32
Goals
Over 2.552%1.91Under 2.548%2.10BTTS yes52%1.92BTTS no48%2.08

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Real Betis · Columns: Deportivo1-1 probability 11.5%

Form

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Head to head

Deportivo – Real Betis20 September 20261-1