TR
Picks
La Liga · Matchday 20Sunday 17 January · 16:00 · Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
Levante18th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Espanyol14th place
LEV 47%X 27%ESP 26%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Levante take 2.1 points per game at home.
  • If Levante score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If Espanyol score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.1
Over 2.549%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Levante win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
147%2.12X27%3.68226%3.92
Double chance
1X74%1.34X253%1.901273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.549%2.02Under 2.551%1.98BTTS yes53%1.88BTTS no47%2.14

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Levante · Columns: Espanyol1-1 probability 12.8%
LevanteDDWLL

Head to head

Espanyol – Levante16 August 20263-0
Espanyol – Levante27 April 20260-0
Levante – Espanyol11 January 20261-1
Levante – Espanyol12 March 20221-1
Espanyol – Levante11 December 20214-3