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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
La Liga · Matchday 20Sunday 17 January · 16:00 · Estadio Coliseum
Getafe12th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Athletic Bilbao7th place
GET 29%X 31%ATH 40%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Athletic Bilbao 0.4, Getafe -0.5.
  • If Getafe score first, they win 65% of the time
  • If Athletic Bilbao score first, they win 73% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 14%
Expected goals0.9 – 1.1
Over 2.534%
Both teams score42%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Athletic Bilbao win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
129%3.39X31%3.24240%2.52
Double chance
1X60%1.66X271%1.421269%1.45
Goals
Over 2.534%2.97Under 2.566%1.51BTTS yes42%2.40BTTS no58%1.71

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Getafe · Columns: Athletic Bilbao1-1 probability 14.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Athletic Bilbao – Getafe25 October 20264-0
Getafe – Athletic Bilbao5 April 20262-0
Athletic Bilbao – Getafe25 October 20250-1
Getafe – Athletic Bilbao15 May 20250-2
Athletic Bilbao – Getafe15 August 20241-1
Getafe – Athletic Bilbao3 May 20240-2