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La Liga · Matchday 20Sunday 17 January · 16:00 · Campos de Sport de El Sardinero
Racing Santander16th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Osasuna15th place
RAC 34%X 26%OSA 40%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Osasuna 0.1, Racing Santander -1.1.
  • If Racing Santander score first, they win 61% of the time
  • If Osasuna score first, they win 66% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.7
Over 2.562%
Both teams score65%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Osasuna win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
134%2.96X26%3.81240%2.50
Double chance
1X60%1.67X266%1.511274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.562%1.60Under 2.538%2.66BTTS yes65%1.55BTTS no35%2.82

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Racing Santander · Columns: Osasuna1-1 probability 11.1%

Form

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Head to head

Osasuna – Racing Santander18 October 20262-0