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La Liga · Matchday 20Sunday 17 January · 16:00 · Estadio Abanca-Balaídos
Celta Vigo10th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Valencia19th place
CEL 47%X 29%VAL 24%

Prediction

  • If Celta Vigo score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Valencia score first, they win 58% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.4 – 0.9
Over 2.541%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Celta Vigo win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
147%2.13X29%3.46224%4.15
Double chance
1X76%1.32X253%1.891271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.541%2.43Under 2.559%1.70BTTS yes47%2.15BTTS no53%1.87

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Celta Vigo · Columns: Valencia1-1 probability 13.6%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Valencia – Celta Vigo22 August 20260-0
Valencia – Celta Vigo5 April 20262-3
Celta Vigo – Valencia3 January 20264-1
Valencia – Celta Vigo2 February 20252-1
Celta Vigo – Valencia23 August 20243-1
Celta Vigo – Valencia26 May 20242-2