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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 27Saturday 23 January · 15:00 · St Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
Birmingham City6th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Lincoln City16th place
BIR 63%X 22%LIN 14%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Birmingham City lead by 136 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Birmingham City 2.4 points per game, Lincoln City 0.8.
  • If Birmingham City score first, they win 84% of the time
  • If Lincoln City score first, they win 42% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals2.0 – 0.8
Over 2.553%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
163%1.58X22%4.48214%6.91
Double chance
1X86%1.17X237%2.721278%1.29
Goals
Over 2.553%1.88Under 2.547%2.13BTTS yes49%2.02BTTS no51%1.98

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Birmingham City · Columns: Lincoln City2-0 probability 11.7%

Form

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Head to head

Lincoln City – Birmingham City31 October 20261-3