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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 27Saturday 23 January · 15:00 · Ashton Gate Stadium
Bristol City14th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Bolton Wanderers19th place
BRC 59%X 23%BOL 18%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Bristol City 0.6, Bolton Wanderers -0.7.
  • Bristol City lead by 60 rating points.
  • If Bristol City score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Bolton Wanderers score first, they win 46% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.0
Over 2.556%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-0 is the likeliest score within a Bristol City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
159%1.71X23%4.26218%5.59
Double chance
1X82%1.22X241%2.421276%1.31
Goals
Over 2.556%1.79Under 2.544%2.26BTTS yes54%1.84BTTS no46%2.19

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bristol City · Columns: Bolton Wanderers1-1 probability 11.0%

Form

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Head to head

Bolton Wanderers – Bristol City31 October 20262-3