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Championship · Matchday 27Saturday 23 January · 15:00 · Cardiff City Stadium
Cardiff City17th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Wolverhampton4th place
CAR 32%X 27%WOL 42%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Wolverhampton lead by 66 rating points.
  • If Cardiff City score first, they win 60% of the time
  • If Wolverhampton score first, they win 69% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.6
Over 2.555%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Wolverhampton win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
132%3.17X27%3.75242%2.39
Double chance
1X58%1.72X268%1.461273%1.36
Goals
Over 2.555%1.82Under 2.545%2.22BTTS yes59%1.70BTTS no41%2.42

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Cardiff City · Columns: Wolverhampton1-1 probability 12.4%

Form

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Head to head

Wolverhampton – Cardiff City31 October 20263-0