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Championship · Matchday 27Saturday 23 January · 15:00 · Ewood Park
Blackburn Rovers13th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Swansea City3rd place
BLB 30%X 29%SWA 41%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Swansea City lead by 79 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Swansea City 0.3, Blackburn Rovers -0.9.
  • Swansea City take 2.0 points per game away.
  • If Blackburn Rovers score first, they win 62% of the time
  • If Swansea City score first, they win 72% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.3
Over 2.543%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Swansea City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
130%3.35X29%3.46241%2.42
Double chance
1X59%1.70X270%1.431271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.543%2.35Under 2.557%1.74BTTS yes49%2.05BTTS no51%1.96

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Blackburn Rovers · Columns: Swansea City1-1 probability 13.9%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Swansea City – Blackburn Rovers31 October 20264-0
Swansea City – Blackburn Rovers20 January 20263-1
Blackburn Rovers – Swansea City30 September 20251-2
Swansea City – Blackburn Rovers22 February 20253-0
Blackburn Rovers – Swansea City19 October 20241-0
Swansea City – Blackburn Rovers2 March 20242-1