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Championship · Matchday 27Saturday 23 January · 15:00 · Deepdale
Preston North End24th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Stoke City7th place
PNE 34%X 29%STK 37%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Stoke City lead by 130 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Stoke City 2.0 points per game, Preston North End 0.2.
  • If Preston North End score first, they win 65% of the time
  • If Stoke City score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.3
Over 2.544%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Stoke City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
134%2.98X29%3.44237%2.68
Double chance
1X63%1.60X266%1.511271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.544%2.27Under 2.556%1.79BTTS yes51%1.98BTTS no49%2.02

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Preston North End · Columns: Stoke City1-1 probability 13.9%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Stoke City – Preston North End31 October 20262-0
Preston North End – Stoke City20 March 20263-1
Stoke City – Preston North End26 December 20250-0
Preston North End – Stoke City5 April 20251-1
Stoke City – Preston North End26 November 20240-0
Preston North End – Stoke City9 March 20241-2