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Championship · Matchday 27Saturday 23 January · 15:00 · MATRADE Loftus Road
QPR9th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Southampton2nd place
QPR 31%X 26%SOU 43%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Southampton lead by 148 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Southampton 2.6 points per game, QPR 1.4.
  • Southampton take 1.9 points per game away.
  • If QPR score first, they win 59% of the time
  • If Southampton score first, they win 69% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.6
Over 2.558%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Southampton win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
131%3.23X26%3.78243%2.35
Double chance
1X57%1.74X269%1.451274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.558%1.73Under 2.542%2.37BTTS yes61%1.64BTTS no39%2.56

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: QPR · Columns: Southampton1-1 probability 11.9%

Form

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Head to head

Southampton – QPR31 October 20264-1
Southampton – QPR24 February 20265-0
QPR – Southampton5 November 20251-2
QPR – Southampton23 December 20230-1
Southampton – QPR26 August 20232-1