TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 11Saturday 17 October · 15:00 · St Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
Birmingham City6th place
Full time3-0Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✓ Result correct
QPR9th place
BIR 49%X 27%QPR 24%

What does the market say?

Birmingham CityDrawQPRRinvalo49%27%24%
Market46%27%27%

✓ Agree · both back Birmingham City

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
  • If Birmingham City score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If QPR score first, they win 55% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.0
Over 2.547%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Birmingham City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
149%2.04X27%3.68224%4.19
Double chance
1X76%1.31X251%1.961273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.547%2.13Under 2.553%1.89BTTS yes51%1.97BTTS no49%2.04

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Birmingham City · Columns: QPR3-0 probability 4.8% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Birmingham City – QPR17 October 20263-0
Birmingham City – QPR11 March 20261-0
QPR – Birmingham City9 December 20252-1
QPR – Birmingham City29 March 20242-1
Birmingham City – QPR22 September 20230-0
QPR – Birmingham City18 March 20230-1