TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 11Saturday 17 October · 12:30 · Vicarage Road
Watford21st place
Full time2-0Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✓ Result correct
Charlton Athletic20th place
WAT 43%X 30%CHA 27%

What does the market say?

WatfordDrawCharlton AthleticRinvalo43%30%27%
Market38%28%34%

✓ Agree · both back Watford

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
  • If Watford score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If Charlton Athletic score first, they win 62% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 12%
Expected goals1.3 – 0.9
Over 2.538%
Both teams score44%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Watford win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
143%2.31X30%3.38227%3.70
Double chance
1X73%1.37X257%1.771270%1.42
Goals
Over 2.538%2.66Under 2.562%1.60BTTS yes44%2.25BTTS no56%1.80

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Watford · Columns: Charlton Athletic2-0 probability 8.8% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Watford – Charlton Athletic17 October 20262-0
Watford – Charlton Athletic6 April 20261-1
Charlton Athletic – Watford9 August 20251-0