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Picks
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Championship · Matchday 11Saturday 17 October · 15:00 · Carrow Road
Norwich City15th place
Full time0-1Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✕ Missed
Portsmouth11th place
NOR 53%X 26%POR 21%

What does the market say?

Norwich CityDrawPortsmouthRinvalo53%26%21%
Market54%25%22%

✓ Agree · both back Norwich City

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
Key factors
  • Norwich City lead by 61 rating points.
  • If Norwich City score first, they win 78% of the time
  • If Portsmouth score first, they win 50% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.1
Over 2.556%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Norwich City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
153%1.87X26%3.88221%4.79
Double chance
1X79%1.26X247%2.141274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.556%1.79Under 2.544%2.26BTTS yes56%1.77BTTS no44%2.29

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Norwich City · Columns: Portsmouth0-1 probability 5.1% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Norwich City – Portsmouth17 October 20260-1
Norwich City – Portsmouth3 April 20261-1
Portsmouth – Norwich City16 August 20251-2
Norwich City – Portsmouth18 April 20253-5
Portsmouth – Norwich City10 December 20240-0