TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 11Saturday 17 October · 15:00 · Swansea.com Stadium
Swansea City3rd place
Full time0-1Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✕ Missed
West Ham8th place
SWA 39%X 26%WHU 34%

What does the market say?

Swansea CityDrawWest HamRinvalo39%26%34%
Market30%26%44%

⚠ Split · Rinvalo Swansea City 39%, market West Ham 44%

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
  • If Swansea City score first, they win 65% of the time
  • If West Ham score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.6
Over 2.563%
Both teams score65%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Swansea City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
139%2.56X26%3.78234%2.90
Double chance
1X66%1.53X261%1.641274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.563%1.58Under 2.537%2.73BTTS yes65%1.53BTTS no35%2.89

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Swansea City · Columns: West Ham0-1 probability 5.3% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Swansea City – West Ham17 October 20260-1