TR
Picks
Championship · Matchday 11Saturday 17 October · 15:00 · Ashton Gate
BRC 45%X 28%SHU 27%

What does the market say?

Bristol CityDrawSheffield UnitedRinvalo45%28%27%
Market46%26%28%

✓ Agree · both back Bristol City

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
  • If Bristol City score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Sheffield United score first, they win 58% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.1
Over 2.548%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Bristol City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
145%2.23X28%3.58227%3.68
Double chance
1X73%1.37X255%1.811272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.548%2.09Under 2.552%1.91BTTS yes52%1.91BTTS no48%2.10

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bristol City · Columns: Sheffield United0-1 probability 7.5% · final score

Head to head

Bristol City – Sheffield United17 October 20260-1
Bristol City – Sheffield United6 April 20261-0
Sheffield United – Bristol City9 August 20251-4
Sheffield United – Bristol City11 March 20251-1
Bristol City – Sheffield United5 November 20241-2
Sheffield United – Bristol City18 April 20231-0