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Championship · Matchday 23Saturday 26 December · 15:00 · Ewood Park
Blackburn Rovers13th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Birmingham City6th place
BLB 26%X 28%BIR 46%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Birmingham City 0.3, Blackburn Rovers -0.9.
  • Birmingham City lead by 72 rating points.
  • If Blackburn Rovers score first, they win 59% of the time
  • If Birmingham City score first, they win 75% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.4
Over 2.543%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Birmingham City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
126%3.80X28%3.57246%2.19
Double chance
1X54%1.84X274%1.361272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.543%2.32Under 2.557%1.76BTTS yes49%2.06BTTS no51%1.95

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Blackburn Rovers · Columns: Birmingham City1-1 probability 13.6%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Birmingham City – Blackburn Rovers3 April 20260-1
Blackburn Rovers – Birmingham City16 August 20251-2
Birmingham City – Blackburn Rovers13 February 20241-0
Blackburn Rovers – Birmingham City29 November 20234-2
Birmingham City – Blackburn Rovers1 April 20231-0
Blackburn Rovers – Birmingham City22 October 20222-1