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Championship · Matchday 23Saturday 26 December · 15:00 · Cardiff City Stadium
Cardiff City17th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Millwall12th place
CAR 32%X 27%MIL 42%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Millwall lead by 110 rating points.
  • If Cardiff City score first, they win 61% of the time
  • If Millwall score first, they win 69% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.5
Over 2.552%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Millwall win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
132%3.16X27%3.74242%2.40
Double chance
1X58%1.71X268%1.461273%1.36
Goals
Over 2.552%1.92Under 2.548%2.09BTTS yes57%1.77BTTS no43%2.30

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Cardiff City · Columns: Millwall1-1 probability 12.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Millwall – Cardiff City21 January 20252-2
Cardiff City – Millwall1 October 20241-0
Millwall – Cardiff City13 April 20243-1
Cardiff City – Millwall9 December 20231-0
Cardiff City – Millwall21 January 20230-1
Millwall – Cardiff City3 September 20222-0