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Championship · Matchday 23Saturday 26 December · 12:30 · Bramall Lane
Sheffield United10th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Middlesbrough1st place
SHU 25%X 26%MID 49%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Middlesbrough lead by 114 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Middlesbrough 1.2, Sheffield United -0.2.
  • If Sheffield United score first, they win 54% of the time
  • If Middlesbrough score first, they win 75% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.7
Over 2.553%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Middlesbrough win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
125%4.05X26%3.78249%2.05
Double chance
1X51%1.96X275%1.331274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.553%1.90Under 2.547%2.11BTTS yes55%1.81BTTS no45%2.24

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sheffield United · Columns: Middlesbrough1-1 probability 12.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Sheffield United – Middlesbrough9 February 20261-2
Middlesbrough – Sheffield United30 August 20251-0
Sheffield United – Middlesbrough12 February 20253-1
Middlesbrough – Sheffield United23 October 20241-0
Sheffield United – Middlesbrough15 February 20231-3
Middlesbrough – Sheffield United14 August 20222-2