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Championship · Matchday 23Saturday 26 December · 15:00 · LNER Stadium
Lincoln City16th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
West Bromwich Albion5th place
LIN 28%X 28%WBA 44%

Prediction

Key factors
  • West Bromwich Albion lead by 119 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: West Bromwich Albion 2.0 points per game, Lincoln City 0.8.
  • If Lincoln City score first, they win 60% of the time
  • If West Bromwich Albion score first, they win 73% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.4
Over 2.546%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a West Bromwich Albion win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
128%3.52X28%3.60244%2.28
Double chance
1X56%1.78X272%1.401272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.546%2.18Under 2.554%1.85BTTS yes51%1.95BTTS no49%2.05

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lincoln City · Columns: West Bromwich Albion1-1 probability 13.5%

Form

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