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Championship · Matchday 23Saturday 26 December · 15:00 · bet365 Stadium
Stoke City7th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Wrexham18th place
STK 39%X 29%WRE 31%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Stoke City 2.0 points per game, Wrexham 0.8.
  • If Stoke City score first, they win 70% of the time
  • If Wrexham score first, they win 63% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.2
Over 2.546%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Stoke City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
139%2.53X29%3.40231%3.21
Double chance
1X69%1.45X261%1.651271%1.42
Goals
Over 2.546%2.18Under 2.554%1.85BTTS yes52%1.93BTTS no48%2.07

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Stoke City · Columns: Wrexham1-1 probability 13.6%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Wrexham – Stoke City18 April 20262-0
Stoke City – Wrexham18 October 20251-0