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Championship · Matchday 23Saturday 26 December · 15:00 · The Valley
Charlton Athletic20th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1High confidence
Southampton2nd place
CHA 17%X 23%SOU 60%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Southampton lead by 265 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Southampton 2.6 points per game, Charlton Athletic 0.4.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Southampton 0.2, Charlton Athletic -0.6.
  • If Charlton Athletic score first, they win 45% of the time
  • If Southampton score first, they win 83% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals0.9 – 1.9
Over 2.552%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score0-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
117%5.98X23%4.36260%1.66
Double chance
1X40%2.52X283%1.201277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.552%1.94Under 2.548%2.07BTTS yes50%2.00BTTS no50%2.00

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Charlton Athletic · Columns: Southampton0-1 probability 11.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Southampton – Charlton Athletic21 February 20261-1
Charlton Athletic – Southampton22 November 20251-5