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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 23Saturday 26 December · 15:00 · MATRADE Loftus Road
QPR9th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Bristol City14th place
QPR 49%X 27%BRC 24%

Prediction

  • If QPR score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Bristol City score first, they win 55% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.0
Over 2.549%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a QPR win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
149%2.05X27%3.70224%4.14
Double chance
1X76%1.32X251%1.961273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.549%2.06Under 2.551%1.94BTTS yes52%1.92BTTS no48%2.09

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: QPR · Columns: Bristol City1-1 probability 12.8%

Form

Compare →
QPRDWLWL

Head to head

QPR – Bristol City11 April 20260-0
Bristol City – QPR4 October 20251-2
QPR – Bristol City12 April 20251-1
Bristol City – QPR14 December 20241-1
Bristol City – QPR17 February 20240-1
QPR – Bristol City11 November 20230-0