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Championship · Matchday 30Saturday 6 February · 15:00 · Ewood Park
Blackburn Rovers13th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Burnley22nd place
BLB 35%X 29%BUR 36%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Burnley -0.2, Blackburn Rovers -0.9.
  • If Blackburn Rovers score first, they win 66% of the time
  • If Burnley score first, they win 67% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.2
Over 2.545%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Burnley win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
135%2.88X29%3.44236%2.76
Double chance
1X64%1.57X265%1.531271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.545%2.24Under 2.555%1.80BTTS yes51%1.96BTTS no49%2.04

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Blackburn Rovers · Columns: Burnley1-1 probability 13.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Blackburn Rovers – Burnley4 January 20250-1
Burnley – Blackburn Rovers31 August 20241-1
Blackburn Rovers – Burnley25 April 20230-1
Burnley – Blackburn Rovers13 November 20223-0