TR
Picks
Championship · Matchday 30Saturday 6 February · 15:00 · Cardiff City Stadium
Cardiff City17th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Norwich City15th place
CAR 36%X 27%NOR 37%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Norwich City lead by 93 rating points.
  • If Cardiff City score first, they win 64% of the time
  • If Norwich City score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.5
Over 2.558%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Norwich City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
136%2.74X27%3.76237%2.71
Double chance
1X63%1.59X264%1.571273%1.36
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Under 2.542%2.38BTTS yes61%1.63BTTS no39%2.59

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Cardiff City · Columns: Norwich City1-1 probability 11.9%

Head to head

Norwich City – Cardiff City3 May 20254-2
Cardiff City – Norwich City2 November 20242-1
Norwich City – Cardiff City17 February 20244-1
Cardiff City – Norwich City11 November 20232-3
Norwich City – Cardiff City25 February 20232-0
Cardiff City – Norwich City30 July 20221-0