TR
Picks
Championship · Matchday 30Saturday 6 February · 15:00 · MATRADE Loftus Road
QPR9th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Millwall12th place
QPR 40%X 28%MIL 32%

Prediction

  • If QPR score first, they win 69% of the time
  • If Millwall score first, they win 62% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.3
Over 2.550%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a QPR win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.51X28%3.57232%3.11
Double chance
1X68%1.47X260%1.661272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.550%2.01Under 2.550%1.99BTTS yes55%1.82BTTS no45%2.22

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: QPR · Columns: Millwall1-1 probability 13.2%
QPRDWLWL

Head to head

Millwall – QPR18 April 20262-0
QPR – Millwall18 October 20251-2
Millwall – QPR1 February 20252-1
QPR – Millwall21 September 20241-1
QPR – Millwall20 January 20242-0
Millwall – QPR26 December 20232-0